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Nber recession indicator - Economic Winners Versus Losers and the Unequal Pandemic Recession




NBER Recession Indicators




We could, of course, display longer data series, but the chart would lose its clarity you can see them.












NBER’s Recession Indicators And Gold


The current reading of the index indicates that the expansion is still continuing.






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Description: For more details about the method, see.

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Views: 2146 Date: 21.03.2022 Favorited: 8 favorites
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The third interpretation, known as the peak method, is to show a recession from the period of the peak to the trough i.
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The peak and trough are collectively extrema.
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Daily data is a disaggregation of monthly data.

Latest Comments

    +624reps
    As shown, at each of these three junctures the model generally assigned recession probabilities that were below the unconditional probability of the U.
    By: Season
    +326reps
    Daily data is a disaggregation of monthly data.
    By: Lesley
    +448reps
    The peak and trough are collectively extrema.
    By: Aurel
    +583reps
    As seen in Panel A, the model that evaluates the risk of recession in the current month primarily relies on variables that describe the real economy, such as the number of new jobs created.
    By: Borlase
    +54reps
    Panel A: Change in payroll employment 100 -5.
    By: Pistol
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